Probability of Matching based on USMLE Scores and Attempts

Here's some interesting data about the probability of an IMG matching in their preferred specialty based on their USMLE score!


Let's look at the strong correlation between board scores on Step 1 and 2 exams and the chances of matching in the 2013 match.


Probability of Matching into the Preferred Specialty Based on :

USMLE Step 1 Scores


Probability of Matching into the Preferred Specialty Based on:

USMLE Step 2 Scores


As we can see....  Great scores open doors!  Rock those boards!

Obviously there is more then just high scores. I have seen really high scores and the student doesn't interview well and doesn't match.   So Be the Best Candidate you can be. And that starts with good scores.


Also notice that there are student with really low scores that match... so there's always hope! 




Data Source:  National Resident Matching Program and Educational Commission for Foreign Medical Graduates. Charting Outcomes in the Match for International Medical Graduates, 2013.

USMLE® is a joint program of the Federation of State Medical Boards (FSMB) and the National Board of Medical Examiners (NBME).


#4 Anas 2016-01-16 11:46
Nice figures, I would like to see these figures after adjusting for other factors for example year of graduation, GPA and research experience.
#3 Omar K 2016-01-15 23:35
Doctor John Barone u r the only thing making me study hard and hard for this step1 couldn't imagine how I could have done without u .... Simply our Dragon Slayer ..Motivator and lecturer we love u doc ;'D
#2 Michael P 2016-01-15 22:49
Dr Barone, the information you put up is really useful and helps to give me confidence and stay motivated! Thank you!
#1 Dacia R 2016-01-15 22:41
very helpfull, thank you!
Category: Match

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